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Brexit round up – Week commencing 17 June 2019
Matrix’s Legal Support Service provides a round-up of Brexit-related links and news.
Brexit and the UK constitution
- For the UK Constitutional Law Association blog, Sam Fowles has discussed whether the Prime Minister can prorogue Parliament to deliver a no deal Brexit.
- The Financial Times has reported that Brexit is overshadowing the Northern Ireland negotiations, with six weeks of talks failing to make progress. It has also reported that the Brexit uncertainty has revived the independence debate in Scotland.
The UK’s post-Brexit deal with the EU
- Deputy Labour leader Tom Watson is to say that the party must adopt a clear anti-Brexit stance.
- Tory grandee Ken Clarke has promised to vote to bring down any ‘idiot’ future Tory prime minister if they attempt to force a no-deal Brexit through Parliament.
- EU negotiators reportedly expect to see Boris Johnson as the next Prime Minister – but think he will U-turn on his promise to take the UK out of the EU by October 31.
- In the Spectator, Robert Peston has discussed how the Tory leadership candidates will solve the Irish border question.
- Signalling that the EU is not willing to countenance a ‘managed no-deal’, Michel Barnier has rejected an appeal by the Stephen Barclay, the UK’s Brexit secretary, for the full gamut of citizens’ rights in the withdrawal agreement to be protected in the event of a no-deal exit.
- Jeremy Corbyn faced a crunch meeting of the Shadow Cabinet amid mounting pressure to throw the party’s weight fully behind a second referendum on Brexit. However, he rebuffed the calls to shift Labour’s position.
- EU leaders have concluded that Britain will crash out of the EU on 31st October unless Theresa May’s Brexit deal is ratified or a new prime minister calls a second referendum or general election this summer. Meanwhile, ruling out Boris Johnson’s calls for renegotiation, Leo Varadkar has warned of enormous EU hostility to a Brexit delay.
- A YouGov poll has found that 54% of Conservative Party members would rather see their party destroyed in order to achieve Brexit, and a majority would be willing to pay for Brexit with the breakup of the UK.
- For the UK in a Changing Europe, Dr Craig Berry has argued that the new prime minister must establish a cross-regional approach.
Impact of Brexit on the economy
- According to the British Chambers of Commerce, leading business lobby group, economic growth in Britain is expected to slow to the lowest levels since the financial crisis as firms run down Brexit stockpiles.
- The House of Commons Library has published a report considering trade in services and Brexit, discussing the complexity of international trade in services and what changes could take place under the different future scenarios.
- John Allan, president of the CBI employers’ group, has warned that the next prime minister needs to repair the reputation of the UK among international investors and ‘back business’ again.
- In a warning apparently directed at Boris Johnson, Philip Hammond has stated that the incoming prime minister will be forced to abandon any spending plans if the UK accelerates towards a no-deal Brexit. The Chancellor has also warned that Britain may need a general election or a second referendum to break the Brexit impasse as Tory leadership contenders are not being straight with the public.
- Bank of England governor, Mark Carney, has said that the UK would be hit automatically by tariffs on exports to the EU in a no-deal Brexit, rejecting a claim made by Boris Johnson that this could be avoided.
- Economic forecasters are pessimistic about the UK’s growth prospects, expecting a sharp interest rate cut if no Brexit deal is agreed.
- Ireland is preparing a frugal no-deal Brexit budget for 2020 in the clearest sign yet that Dublin is bracing for the UK to crash out of the EU without an exit agreement.
Brexit as it affects Practice Areas:
A group including three MPs has begun a legal bid to challenge police over delays to the investigation into alleged offences by leave campaigners in the Brexit referendum.
MPs have been told by the pharmaceutical industry that crashing out of the EU on 31 October would have serious implications for hospitals, patients and pharmacies, with shortages of some medicines within weeks.
A quarter of the people allowed into the UK to work earn less than the £30,000 minimum income required to apply for a visa, according to new data which show the potential for more flexibility in the post-Brexit immigration regime.
The Home Office has released guidance on the right to work in the UK for frontier workers, defined as an EU, EEA or Swiss citizen who regularly commutes to the UK because they are employed or self-employed here but live elsewhere, outlining what will be expected of frontier workers if the UK leaves the EU with a deal or not.
UK business schools are fearing a faculty exodus post-Brexit as, though student applications remain buoyant, staff recruitment is suffering.
Environmental groups Client Earth and the Marine Conservation Society have launched a High Court challenge to the UK Government’s Brexit laws, over sweeping new powers that may weaken protection for seas and wildlife in the UK.